Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Primary Predictions

Remaining Schedule
2,024 needed to win
  1. Pennsylvania - April 22 - 158 delegates - Clinton
  2. Guam - May 3 - 4 delegates - Obama
  3. North Carolina - May 6 - 115 delegates - Obama
  4. Indiana - May 6 - 72 delegates - Clinton
  5. West Virginia - May 13 - 28 delegates - Clinton
  6. Kentucky - May 20 - 51 delegates - Clinton
  7. Oregon - May 20 - 52 delegates - Obama
  8. Puerto Rico - June 1 - 55 delegates - Obama
  9. Montana - June 3 - 16 delegates - Obama
  10. South Dakota June 3 - 15 delegates - Obama

So that's 511 "pledged" delegates up for grabs.

Score as of 4/15/2008 for "pledged" delegates only:

  • Obama : 1,414
  • Clinton: 1,243

"Super" delegate commitment estimates (464 committed):

  • Obama: 218
  • Clinton: 246

TOTAL AS OF 4/15:

  • Obama: 1,632
  • Clinton: 1,489

Super delegates left to commit: 332

"Magic Numbers" needed to win:

  • Obama: 392
  • Clinton: 535

CNN has this great calculator that you can play with to predict the outcome of the race by clicking here.

2 comments:

Bill McC said...

An LA Times/Bloomberg poll cited today on CNN.com shows Obama with a 5 point lead in Indiana (and everyone knows how smart the people at Bloomberg are!!).

Mitt said...

They are indeed. Way smarter than those morons at Macy's.